Everton vs Leeds Prediction, Lineups & Score Forecast , Round 23 Premier league By Emily / January 26, 2026 Everton vs Leeds United The Round 23 Premier League clash between Everton vs Leeds United takes place at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, with kick-off scheduled for 01:30 AM (IST) on Tuesday, 27 January 2026. This is a fascinating mid-table battle with contrasting statistical profiles. Everton sit 11th in the table but rank just 17th in expected goals, while Leeds United are 16th yet boast an impressive 11th-place ranking in xG. Expect a tense, tactical contest where efficiency may matter more than flair. Match Overview – Everton vs Leeds United Everton vs Leeds Category Details Fixture Everton vs Leeds United Competition Premier League Round Round 23 Date & Kick-Off Tuesday, 27 January 2026 – 01:30 AM (IST) Venue Hill Dickinson Stadium Location Liverpool, Merseyside, England Capacity 52,888 Surface Grass Weather 5°C – Cold Match Insight: Leeds United generate far more chances than their league position suggests, while Everton rely heavily on defensive structure and clean sheets at home. Premier League Snapshot (Season So Far) Metric Everton Leeds United League Position 11 16 Wins 9 6 Draws 5 7 Losses 8 9 Goals For 24 30 Avg Goals Scored 1 1 Avg Goals Conceded 1 2 Expected Goals (xG) 24.14 31.96 xG per 90 1.10 1.45 Clean Sheets 9 4 Everton’s strength lies in their defensive discipline, while Leeds’ attacking numbers hint that they could be underperforming their underlying data. Recent Form Guide Everton – Last 5 Matches (D–L–L–D–L) Matchweek Opponent Score Result MW18 Burnley (A) 0–0 Draw MW19 Nottingham Forest (A) 0–2 Loss MW20 Brentford (H) 2–4 Loss MW21 Wolves (H) 1–1 Draw MW22 Aston Villa (A) 0–1 Loss Leeds United – Last 5 Matches (D–D–D–W–W) Matchweek Opponent Score Result MW18 Sunderland (A) 1–1 Draw MW19 Liverpool (A) 0–0 Draw MW20 Man United (H) 1–1 Draw MW21 Newcastle (A) 4–3 Win MW22 Fulham (H) 1–0 Win Head-to-Head Record Overall Meetings: 31 Everton Wins: 10 Draws: 12 Leeds United Wins: 9 Last 5 Meetings Date Match Result Aug 18, 2025 Leeds United vs Everton 1–0 Feb 18, 2023 Everton vs Leeds United 1–0 Aug 30, 2022 Leeds United vs Everton 1–1 Feb 12, 2022 Everton vs Leeds United 3–0 Aug 21, 2021 Leeds United vs Everton 2–2 This fixture is traditionally tight, with four of the last five meetings decided by a single goal or ending level. Top Scorers to Watch Everton: Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall – 4 goals, 2 assists (15 matches) Leeds United: Dominic Calvert-Lewin – 9 goals, 1 assist (20 matches) Calvert-Lewin’s physical presence and finishing make him the most dangerous player on the pitch. Predicted Lineups – Everton vs Leeds United Everton vs Leeds Everton (4-2-3-1) Jordan Pickford – Nathan Patterson, James Tarkowski, Jake O’Brien, Vitaliy Mykolenko – Idrissa Gana Gueye, James Garner – Iliman Ndiaye, Merlin Röhl, Dwight McNeil – Thierno Barry Leeds United (3-5-2) Karl Darlow – Sebastiaan Bornauw, Joe Rodon, Pascal Struijk – Jayden Bogle, Brenden Aaronson, Ethan Ampadu, Ilia Gruev, James Justin – Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Noah Okafor Unavailable Players Team Players Out Everton Carlos Alcaraz, Jarrad Branthwaite, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Michael Keane, Tim Iroegbunam, Jack Grealish Leeds United Anton Stach, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Jaka Bijol, Daniel James Everton’s injury list is longer, particularly in defense, which could stretch their usually solid back line. Statistical Projection – Everton vs Leeds United Metric Everton Leeds United Win Probability 38% 32% Draw Probability 30% — Expected Possession 45–48% 52–55% Shots on Target 3–5 4–6 Expected Goals (xG) 1.0–1.3 1.2–1.6 Clean Sheet Probability 29% 21% Most Likely Scorer Dwight McNeil Dominic Calvert-Lewin ✅ Final Score Prediction Everton 1–1 Leeds United Likely Scorers: Dwight McNeil (Everton) Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds United) Everton’s home advantage and defensive structure should keep them competitive, but Leeds’ superior chance creation suggests they can earn a point. Confidence Levels Everton Win: 38% Draw: 30% Leeds United Win: 32% Read More:- Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction, Lineups & Score Forecast , Round 21 La Liga Suggested Tips (Informational Only) Draw or Leeds United Double Chance Under 2.5 Total Goals Both Teams to Score: Yes Anytime Scorer: Dominic Calvert-Lewin ⚠️ All predictions are for informational purposes only. Betting involves risk—please play responsibly. FAQs – Everton vs Leeds United 1.What time is Everton vs Leeds United? Kick-off is at 01:30 AM (IST) on Tuesday, 27 January 2026. 2.Where is the match being played? At Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool, England. 3.Who are the key players to watch? Jordan Pickford for Everton and Dominic Calvert-Lewin for Leeds United. 4.What is the predicted score? A 1–1 draw in Round 23 of the Premier League.
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