Newcastle vs Man City Prediction, Lineups & Score Forecast , Semi Finals 1st Round EFL Cup

Newcastle vs Man City will be played in the Semi Finals 1st Round of the EFL Cup, with kick-off scheduled for 01:30 AM on Tuesday, 13 January 2026. The match takes place at St James’ Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, one of England’s most intense atmospheres, especially on a cold winter night. Weather conditions are expected to be chilly at around 4°C, with a grass surface in good condition. With a place in the EFL Cup final at stake over two legs, this first round is crucial, and both managers are likely to balance rotation with competitiveness due to heavy injury lists. Despite Manchester City’s superior squad depth, Newcastle’s recent home form and their last head-to-head win over City suggest this tie may be far closer than many expect. Match Overview – Newcastle vs Man City Newcastle vs Man City Category Details Fixture Newcastle vs Man City Competition EFL Cup Stage Semi Finals – 1st Round Date & Kick-Off Tuesday, 13 January 2026 – 01:30 AM Venue St James’ Park Location Newcastle upon Tyne, England Capacity 52,758 Surface Grass Weather 4°C – Cold Newcastle are expected to line up in a 4-3-3, focusing on midfield intensity and wing transitions through Gordon and Barnes. Manchester City, likely using a 4-1-4-1, will emphasize ball control and wide attacking play despite a heavily rotated defensive line. Recent Form Guide – Newcastle vs Man City Newcastle United – Last 5 Matches Date Result 10/01 Draw vs Bournemouth (3–3) 07/01 Win vs Leeds United (4–3) 04/01 Win vs Crystal Palace (2–0) 30/12 Win vs Burnley (3–1) 26/12 Loss vs Manchester United (0–1) Manchester City – Last 5 Matches Date Result 10/01 Win vs Exeter City (10–1) 07/01 Draw vs Brighton (1–1) 04/01 Draw vs Chelsea (1–1) 01/01 Draw vs Sunderland (0–0) 27/12 Win vs Nottingham Forest (2–1) Head-to-Head – Newcastle vs Man City (Last 5 Meetings) Date Competition Result Nov 22, 2025 Premier League Newcastle 2–1 Man City Feb 15, 2025 Premier League Man City 4–0 Newcastle Sep 28, 2024 Premier League Newcastle 1–1 Man City Mar 16, 2024 FA Cup Man City 2–0 Newcastle Jan 13, 2024 Premier League Newcastle 2–3 Man City Key Trend: Newcastle have beaten Manchester City once in the last two meetings Four of the last five encounters produced at least two goals Games at St James’ Park are typically far more competitive Top Scorers Newcastle United: Joelinton – 2 goals (2 matches) Manchester City: Rayan Cherki – 2 goals (2 matches) Both sides rely heavily on midfield and wide players contributing goals, especially with rotation expected in cup competition. Predicted Lineups – Newcastle vs Man City Newcastle vs Man City Newcastle United (4-3-3) Position Manchester City (4-1-4-1) Aaron Ramsdale GK James Trafford Kieran Trippier RB Matheus Nunes Malick Thiaw CB Abdukodir Khusanov Sven Botman CB Max Alleyne Lewis Hall LB Nathan Aké Sandro Tonali CDM Nico Gonzalez Bruno Guimarães CM Bernardo Silva Joelinton CM Tijjani Reijnders Anthony Gordon RW Rayan Cherki Harvey Barnes LW Jeremy Doku Yoane Wissa ST Erling Haaland Final lineups will be confirmed one hour before kick-off. Unavailable Players Team Missing Players Reason Newcastle Elanga, Burn, Krafth, Schär, Lascelles, Livramento, Osula Injury Man City Marmoush, Stones, Gvardiol, Kovacic, Bobb, Dias, Savinho Injury / Duty Both teams are affected, but Manchester City’s defensive absences are particularly significant for a high-pressure away semi-final. Statistical Projection – Newcastle vs Man City Metric Newcastle Man City Win Probability 36% 40% Draw Probability 24% – Possession 42–45% 55–58% Shots on Target 4–6 5–7 Expected Goals (xG) 1.2–1.5 1.3–1.6 Clean Sheet Probability 18% 20% Most Likely Scorer Joelinton Erling Haaland ✅ Final Score Prediction Newcastle 1–2 Man City Likely Scorers: Newcastle: Joelinton Man City: Erling Haaland, Rayan Cherki Manchester City’s quality in decisive moments, even with rotation, gives them a narrow edge. However, Newcastle are very likely to score at home, keeping the tie alive ahead of the second leg. Confidence Levels Man City Win: 40% Draw: 24% Newcastle Win: 36% Read More:- Juventus vs Cremonese Prediction, Lineups & Score Forecast , Round 20 Serie A Suggested Tips (Informational Only) Full-Time Result: Manchester City Win Both Teams to Score: Yes Over 1.5 Total Goals Anytime Scorer: Erling Haaland ⚠️ All predictions are for informational purposes only. Betting involves risk—please play responsibly. FAQs – Newcastle vs Man City 1.What time is Newcastle vs Man City? Kick-off is at 01:30 AM on Tuesday, 13 January 2026. 2.Where will the match be played? At St James’ Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, England. 3.What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Man City? A 2–1 away win for Manchester City is the most likely outcome. 4.Who are the key players to watch? Joelinton for Newcastle and Erling Haaland for Manchester City. 5.Is this a two-leg semi-final? Yes, this is the first round (first leg) of the EFL Cup semi-final.