Newcastle vs Leeds United Prediction, Lineups & Score Forecast , Round 21 Premier League

Newcastle vs Leeds United takes place in Round 21 of the 2025–26 Premier League, with kick-off scheduled for 01:45 AM on Thursday, 8 January 2026. The match will be played at St. James’ Park in Newcastle upon Tyne, England, under cold winter conditions with temperatures expected to hover around 2°C on a grass surface. Newcastle arrive in strong form, having won three of their last five league matches, while Leeds United remain difficult to beat but have drawn four of their previous five games. With St. James’ Park expected to be at full voice, the Magpies will look to press aggressively and continue their push up the table, while Leeds aim to frustrate and strike on the break. Match Overview – Newcastle vs Leeds United Newcastle vs Leeds United Category Details Fixture Newcastle United vs Leeds United Competition Premier League Matchweek Round 21 Date & Kick-Off Thursday, 8 January 2026 – 01:45 AM Venue St. James’ Park Location Newcastle upon Tyne, England Capacity 52,758 Surface Grass Weather 2°C – Cold Newcastle are expected to dominate territory and apply sustained pressure, while Leeds may sit compact in a back five and look to counter through Calvert-Lewin and Okafor. Recent Form Guide – Newcastle vs Leeds United Newcastle United – Form Guide Date Result Opponent 04/01 Win (2–0) Crystal Palace 30/12 Win (3–1) Burnley 26/12 Loss (0–1) Manchester United 20/12 Draw (2–2) Chelsea 17/12 Win (2–1) Fulham Newcastle have won three of their last five matches, showing defensive solidity and consistent goal output, particularly at home. Leeds United – Form Guide Date Result Opponent 04/01 Draw (1–1) Manchester United 01/01 Draw (0–0) Liverpool 28/12 Draw (1–1) Sunderland 20/12 Win (4–1) Crystal Palace 14/12 Draw (1–1) Brentford Leeds United are unbeaten in five matches but have drawn four times, highlighting their resilience but also a lack of cutting edge late in games. Head-to-Head – Newcastle vs Leeds United Overall Premier League Record Metric Details Total Played 29 Newcastle United Wins (Home/Away) 12 (5/7) Draws 10 Leeds United Wins (Home/Away) 7 (3/4) Last 5 Premier League Meetings Date Home Team Score Away Team 30 Aug 2025 Leeds United 0–0 Newcastle United 13 May 2023 Leeds United 2–2 Newcastle United 31 Dec 2022 Newcastle United 0–0 Leeds United 22 Jan 2022 Leeds United 0–1 Newcastle United 17 Sep 2021 Newcastle United 1–1 Leeds United Four of the last five league meetings between these sides have ended in draws, suggesting another tight contest. Top Scorers Newcastle United: Bruno Guimarães – 7 goals, 2 assists (19 matches) Leeds United: Dominic Calvert-Lewin – 8 goals (18 matches) Both midfield influence and physical presence up front are likely to play key roles in this matchup. Predicted Lineups – Newcastle vs Leeds United Newcastle vs Leeds United Newcastle United (4-3-3) Nick Pope – Lewis Miley, Malick Thiaw, Fabian Schär, Lewis Hall – Bruno Guimarães, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton – Harvey Barnes, Yoane Wissa, Anthony Gordon Leeds United (3-5-2) Lucas Perri – Sebastiaan Bornauw, Jaka Bijol, Pascal Struijk – James Justin, Ilia Gruev, Ethan Ampadu, Anton Stach, Gabriel Gudmundsson – Noah Okafor, Dominic Calvert-Lewin Final lineups will be confirmed one hour before kick-off. Unavailable Players Team Missing Players Reason Newcastle United Alex Murphy, Daniel Burn, Emil Krafth, Jamaal Lascelles, Anthony Elanga, William Osula Injury Leeds United Jayden Bogle, Joe Rodon, Daniel James Injury Newcastle’s defensive depth is slightly stretched, but their midfield remains strong and balanced. Statistical Projection – Newcastle vs Leeds United Metric Newcastle Leeds Win Probability 48% 22% Draw Probability 30% – Possession 55–58% 42–45% Shots on Target 5–7 3–4 Expected Goals (xG) 1.6–2.0 1.0–1.3 Clean Sheet Probability 32% 20% Total Goals Range 2–3 Goals – Most Likely Scorer Anthony Gordon Dominic Calvert-Lewin Final Score Prediction : Newcastle United 2–1 Leeds United Likely Scorers Newcastle United: Anthony Gordon, Bruno Guimarães Leeds United: Dominic Calvert-Lewin Confidence Levels Newcastle Win: 48% Draw: 30% Leeds Win: 22% Read More:- Burnley vs Man United Prediction, Lineups & Score Forecast , Round 21 Premier League Man City vs Brighton Prediction, Lineups & Score Forecast , Round 21 Premier League Suggested Tips (Informational Only) Newcastle United to Win Both Teams to Score – Yes Anytime Scorer: Dominic Calvert-Lewin ⚠️ All predictions are for informational purposes only. Betting involves risk—please play responsibly. FAQs – Newcastle vs Leeds United 1.What time is Newcastle vs Leeds United? Kick-off is at 01:45 AM on Thursday, 8 January 2026. 2.Where will Newcastle vs Leeds United be played? The match will be held at St. James’ Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, England. 3.What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Leeds United? The most likely outcome is a 2–1 win for Newcastle United. 4.Who are the key players to watch in this match? Key players include Bruno Guimarães and Anthony Gordon for Newcastle, and Dominic Calvert-Lewin for Leeds United.